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Affordable Housing Initiatives: A Case Study

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II. THE EFFECTS OF HCTI PARADOX ON AFFORDABLE HOUSING INITIATIVES FDR’s affordable housing initiative was responsible for the rapid expansion of home ownership throughout the United States (Allen and Barth, 2012). This was accomplished in part through the creation of The Federal National Mortgage Association, which provided affordable low down payment mortgages extended over a 30-year period of time. Over the past several decades the United States economic policy has been to encourage home ownership (Bluhm, Overbeck and Wagner, 2010). According to the 1940 U.S. Census Bureau, the median price of a single family home in the U.S. was approximately $2,938 (Aalbers, 2012). The median yearly wage was $1,730. The Housing Cost to Income ratio (HCTI) was just over 2:1. The HCTI ratios were 3 - 4:1 throughout the 1950s - 1960s. Until the 1970s borrowers kept their mortgages for the majority of the loan term (Bluhm, Overbeck and Wagner, 2010). By the 1970s, HCTI ratios increased to over 5:1 (U.S Census). Figure I denotes the housing appreciation trend in light blue has accelerated at a higher rate of speed during the past 40 years (Shiller, [2005]). Over the past 40 years housing values on average have doubled at the end of a housing boom, out pacing increases in median income by 50% (see Figure II, U.S Census, [1969-2008]). This has led to the median housing expense to being …show more content…

Figure IV shows the decrease of home values of Shillers 20-City Index leading to 2008. A faster Principal Reduction Amortization Model (PRAM) would prevent a HCTI Paradox caused by underwater mortgages by enabling borrowers to build enough equity to refinance into lower interest rates or the option of selling a home they can no longer afford during economic contractions (see Figure

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