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Continental Airlines Essay

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Continental Airlines
Memo
To: Lawrence Kellner
From:
Date:
Re:
The purpose of this memorandum is to address the profitability issues at Continental Airlines and to estimate the costs for 2009 to forecast the future outlook of the company. To address these issues, I used regression analysis to observe what effect the 11% reduction in flying capacity would have on the firm’s future operating costs. I also used the results from the regression analysis to verify the costs that, if reduced, would further comply with the implementation of cost-cutting initiatives and operational efficiencies that the company is striving for. Lastly, I consolidated the data to forecast Continental’s financial outlook for 2009, then provided insight …show more content…

Since Continental already locked in their fuel prices for the year I believe that a reduction in the available seat miles per flight would see a large drop in fuel costs. According to the regression results, there is a high correlation between available seat miles and fuel. The regression yielded a cost of about $ .08 for each available seat mile flown. I again used a 10% decrease and the overall costs savings were quite significant. I would expect Continental to incur a fuel expense of $ 499,238,476 in the first quarter and $2,333,641,754 for the year. By comparing these results to the prior estimated fuel costs, there is a cost savings of approximately $ 921,611,677 for 2009. Reducing these available seat miles should not be reasonable difficult considering the potential it has for immense cost savings.
2009 Profitability Analysis
Continental Airlines has been experiencing turbulent times in recent quarters and without material changes to the company’s operations it may have worse times ahead. Using the results from my regression analysis, as well as cost estimation, I have forecasted what Continental can expect for revenue, costs, and profit in 2009. Table 2 is shown below, which shows the financial summary of Continental Airlines, based on reduced flight capacity and the projections I have been provided with. The forecasting data for 2009 shows that Continental should expect further economic losses.

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