Risk Management
“United Grain Growers Ltd (UGG)”
1. - UGC estimated that it would need C$150 million to carry out its strategic plans over the coming two years. Will its internal resources provide reliable funding for this program? How much external funding might it need?
After carefully reviewing the income statement, balances sheet and cash flow it seems that the company has a negative cash flow for 1998, so even before thinking about obtaining internal and external resources for long term investment, the company must assure resources for their own working capital.
This seems not logical or correct, because the secularization is meant for the company to raise cash by selling accounts receivables and reducing inventory, but for
…show more content…
What elements of the business (examples: revenues, investment needs, etc.) might be affected by weather risk or environmental liability, and how?
First I would categorized them in 3 different groups, business related, political and environmental, but is very important to mention that in some cases a single risk can be categorize in more than one group, for example, that is the case of the weather risk that I consider in the environmental group but it has a direct impact in the business related group.
The second step is to determine if the risk are from human nature or from natural causes, if they are from human nature it is important to find out if there are any ways to eliminate or at least mitigate the risk and if the company can do it what would be the cost.
At the end all the risk are finance related, because the liability’s cost money and this will have an effect in the company’s earnings, so what is important is not only to try to avoid such events but also to be prepare in case they happen and have a plan, is like the saying “Hope for the best but be prepare for the worst”.
3. - Why should UGG (or any other firm) worry about risks if investors can diversify? a) What would be the answer of the Miller & Modigliani model in a perfect world? What are the possible imperfections that may affect this answer?
The problem is the Canadian regulation, this is because the law specifies that the Board of Directors and the Manager of the Company are responsible
In the historical balance sheet we can see a very important decrease of the short-term debt, so UGC could also increase this debt. Obtaining cash from the stock market, negotiate an increase of the number of days of the accounts payables, reducing inventory or decreasing the number of days in their accounts receivable could also be very important cash resources. Still, it is difficult to estimate the financial need due to the fact that we cannot forecast the cash from operations.
The company have generated very low operating cash flows, which is caused by a negative net income(16, 55) in 94,95, again with sales going down and cost of goods sold increasing. The company current ratio (2.3, 2.1, 2.5) in 93, 94, 95 are indicating satisfactory but when analyze quick ratio (1.1, 1.1, 1.3), and we also know that sales are down which mean more inventories. Now the account payable days has been increasing (49, 62, and 66). They have been delaying there payment which mean more cash on
The following short case will give you a good idea of how risks surface in business and project planning and what companies do about it. Consider that you are the Risk Manager as you look at this case, as it will be a good exercise for the time when you will be that Risk Manager!
Operating cash flow was not enough to cover capital investments (this firm does not to appear to pay dividends as it does not show in the prior 3 years). The firm is financing it operations from the issuance of common stock. $23,082 was raised during the period, which is covering its investments in capital expenditures.
Question 2. Build a financial model to determine if MBUSA should invest in eLearning. Should MBUSA make the investment? What are the key drivers of value?
Based on the Exhibit 9A in the case, we can calculate the Source and Use of Funds. As Exhibit 1 suggests, the company require about $4.8 billion during 1984 and 1990. This is basically due to the required new capex during the same period, which will be accumulated to $10.2 billion, and the increase of cash holding, $2.0 billion, as a use of funds and the company can generate funds from operation, only $7.8 billion. Therefore, the company needs to fill the gap by sourcing external finance of about $4.8 billion. This amount will vary depending primarily on two factors; 1) whether MCI can expand market share as forecasted amid the increasing
As shown in the ratios chart, working capital has increased by $13M. Maturities of short-term investments and cash flow from operations are projected to be sufficient to sustain the company’s overall financing needs, including capital expenditures. The following corporate strategic plan identifies a project that needs financial backing.
As shown in the ratios chart, working capital has increased by $13M. Maturities of short-term investments and cash flow from operations are projected to be sufficient to sustain the company’s overall financing needs, including capital expenditures. The following corporate strategic plan identifies a project that needs financial backing.
The key risks that the company faces are economic conditions, competition, key employees, suppliers, availability of credit, financial risks, business continuity, revenue dependence, cost saving, leased property portfolio, as well as, some other minor risks. The amount of risks faced by the company is high, and the realization of those risks is a good possibility in light of the performance of the company.
Financing requirements of the company can be determined by calculating the cash requirements of the company by adding the working capital needs and capital expenditure needs of the company. Working capital needs can be calculated by subtracting current liabilities from current assets of the company. Current assets of the company will remain significantly lower than current liabilities for next three years. Working capital needs of the company come out to be $17.523 million, $21,028 million and $21,028 million for years 2010, 2011 and 2012. Capital expenditures of the company will remain at $0.9 million for all three years. Adding the values of working capital needs and capital expenditure needs for all years and by subtracting these values from net income, we can calculate the external financing required by the company to meet the cash needs for next three years. As shown in calculations in excel sheet, external financing requirements for the company come out to be $15.231 million for 2010 and $18.091 million for 2011 and 2012 respectively.
2. Determine which of the six risk management techniques is appropriate for each risk explained in
There are all kinds of different risk everywhere and in industry conditions and economic conditions in the economy they may come in to being. I like how Zirra felt about “the greatest risk nowadays is the volatility of prices. In a period when the demand for products and services is dramatically reduced, the investors have no perspectives available regarding the evolution of markets. When economic recession is present, all investors wait for the investment decision of the other investors. So, the question is whether to invest or not? Which is the best decision? What are the others doing?” (Zirra, 2011) Since the ABC Company is a manufacturing the business can be hurt by economic risk factors and industry risk factors. The list below will let you know not all factors were included and there’s no limit to this:
The company entered into dubious transactions, especially with Doug Mather. This helped contribute to the cash flow problems. The company needs to avoid these transactions in the future.
One of the risks that could have an impact on the corporate financial strategy of an entity is business risk which Bender and Ward (2012) define as "the inherent risk associated with the underlying nature of the particular business and the specific competitive strategy that is being implemented" (p.51). Business risks could arise from events that take place inside or outside the organization. An entity with a significantly high business risk according to Bender and Ward (2012) must not "adopt a financial strategy that involves high financial risk" (p.51).
Also these risks can lead to other risks in areas such as human resources, training and development and accounting and financing also. Therefore any affected risk can infect other areas of the organization and can cause an upheaval totally.