a) Show the expression to calculate the missing forecasts from each forecasting technique. ompany. (Weighted moving average parameters are n=3 and W₁1:0.4, We-2-0.3; Wea=0.3; smoothing factor(alfa) for exponential smoothing is 0.3)

Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Chapter13: Regression And Forecasting Models
Section13.6: Moving Averages Models
Problem 22P: The file P13_22.xlsx contains total monthly U.S. retail sales data. While holding out the final six...
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17. Following tables are created in order to generate forecasts using weighted moving average and
simple moving average for the sales amount of a certain product group at an electronics company.
a) Show the expression to calculate the missing forecasts from each forecasting technique.
(Weighted moving average parameters are n=3 and w+1:0.4, We-2-0.3; W=0.3; smoothing
factor(alfa) for exponential smoothing is 0.3)
1 Exponential Smooting Table
Period
1
2
3
4
2 Weighted Average Forecasts
Period
1
2
3
4
Actual
335
246
279
263
MAD
Actual
335
246
279
263
Forecast
193,0
205,3
229,2
?
Forecast
293,2
304,7
272,1
?
Error
141,9
40,6
49,75
?
Error
41,8
-58,7
6,9
?
b) Show the expression to calculate mean absolute deviation (MAD) for the forecasting results of
these two techniques separately.
ΣActual - Forecast
n
Transcribed Image Text:17. Following tables are created in order to generate forecasts using weighted moving average and simple moving average for the sales amount of a certain product group at an electronics company. a) Show the expression to calculate the missing forecasts from each forecasting technique. (Weighted moving average parameters are n=3 and w+1:0.4, We-2-0.3; W=0.3; smoothing factor(alfa) for exponential smoothing is 0.3) 1 Exponential Smooting Table Period 1 2 3 4 2 Weighted Average Forecasts Period 1 2 3 4 Actual 335 246 279 263 MAD Actual 335 246 279 263 Forecast 193,0 205,3 229,2 ? Forecast 293,2 304,7 272,1 ? Error 141,9 40,6 49,75 ? Error 41,8 -58,7 6,9 ? b) Show the expression to calculate mean absolute deviation (MAD) for the forecasting results of these two techniques separately. ΣActual - Forecast n
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