Assume that the economy can experience four possible states: high growth, normal growth, recession, or depression. For each of those states, you expect the following stock market returns for the coming year: State of the Economy High Growth Normal Growth Recession Depression Probability 0.2 0.6 0.15 0.05 Return 33% 13% -33% -50% In dollar terms, what is the value at risk (over a one-year horizon at a 5 percent probability) associated with a $1,000 investment? The value at risk: $

Corporate Fin Focused Approach
5th Edition
ISBN:9781285660516
Author:EHRHARDT
Publisher:EHRHARDT
Chapter7: Valuation Of Stocks And Corporations
Section7.6: Valuing Nonconstant Growth Stocks
Problem 3ST
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Assume that the economy can experience four possible states: high
growth, normal growth, recession, or depression. For each of those
states, you expect the following stock market returns for the coming
year:
State of the Economy
High Growth
Normal Growth
Recession
Depression
Probability
0.2
0.6
0.15
0.05
Return
33%
13%
-33%
-50%
In dollar terms, what is the value at risk (over a one-year horizon at a 5
percent probability) associated with a $1,000 investment?
The value at risk: $
Transcribed Image Text:Assume that the economy can experience four possible states: high growth, normal growth, recession, or depression. For each of those states, you expect the following stock market returns for the coming year: State of the Economy High Growth Normal Growth Recession Depression Probability 0.2 0.6 0.15 0.05 Return 33% 13% -33% -50% In dollar terms, what is the value at risk (over a one-year horizon at a 5 percent probability) associated with a $1,000 investment? The value at risk: $
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