Consider the following regression Pt * - Pt = .07(1.4) + .4*Pt (3.6) + et where Pt * is Shiller’s ex post price of a stock, Pt is the actual price and t-ratios are in brackets. Explain in words and analytically what the dependent variable Pt * - Pt should be equal to under the efficient markets theory. Hence interpret the regression. Does it support the efficient markets theory?

Corporate Fin Focused Approach
5th Edition
ISBN:9781285660516
Author:EHRHARDT
Publisher:EHRHARDT
Chapter6: Risk And Return
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Consider the following regression Pt * - Pt = .07(1.4) + .4*Pt (3.6) + et where Pt * is Shiller’s ex post price of a stock, Pt is the actual price and t-ratios are in brackets. Explain in words and analytically what the dependent variable Pt * - Pt should be equal to under the efficient markets theory. Hence interpret the regression. Does it support the efficient markets theory?

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