Consider the following time series data. Week | 1 2 3 4 5 6 Value 18 13 16 11 17 14 Using the naive method (most recent value) as the forecast for the next week, compute the following measures of forecast accuracy. a. Mean absolute error. b. Mean squared error. c. Mean absolute percentage error. d. What is the forecast for week 7?

Glencoe Algebra 1, Student Edition, 9780079039897, 0079039898, 2018
18th Edition
ISBN:9780079039897
Author:Carter
Publisher:Carter
Chapter10: Statistics
Section10.1: Measures Of Center
Problem 3BGP
icon
Related questions
icon
Concept explainers
Topic Video
Question
100%

Can anyone help me with Statistics?

1. Consider the following time series data.
Week | 1 2 3 4 5 6
Value 18 13 16 11 17 14
Using the naive method (most recent value) as the forecast for the next week, compute the
following measures of forecast accuracy.
a. Mean absolute error.
b. Mean squared error.
c. Mean absolute percentage error.
d. What is the forecast for week 7?
2. Refer to the time series data in exercise 1. Using the average of all the historical data as a
forecast for the next period, compute the following measures of forecast accuracy.
a. Mean absolute error.
b. Mean squared error.
c. Mean absolute percentage error.
d. What is the forecast for week 7?
3. Exercises 1 and 2 used different forecasting methods. Which method appears to provide
the more accurate forecasts for the historical data? Explain.
4. Consider the following time series data.
Month | 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Value
24 13 20 12 19 23 15
a. Compute MSE using the most recent value as the forecast for the next period. What
is the forecast for month 8?
b. Compute MSE using the average of all the data available as the forecast for the next
period. What is the forecast for month 8?
Transcribed Image Text:1. Consider the following time series data. Week | 1 2 3 4 5 6 Value 18 13 16 11 17 14 Using the naive method (most recent value) as the forecast for the next week, compute the following measures of forecast accuracy. a. Mean absolute error. b. Mean squared error. c. Mean absolute percentage error. d. What is the forecast for week 7? 2. Refer to the time series data in exercise 1. Using the average of all the historical data as a forecast for the next period, compute the following measures of forecast accuracy. a. Mean absolute error. b. Mean squared error. c. Mean absolute percentage error. d. What is the forecast for week 7? 3. Exercises 1 and 2 used different forecasting methods. Which method appears to provide the more accurate forecasts for the historical data? Explain. 4. Consider the following time series data. Month | 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Value 24 13 20 12 19 23 15 a. Compute MSE using the most recent value as the forecast for the next period. What is the forecast for month 8? b. Compute MSE using the average of all the data available as the forecast for the next period. What is the forecast for month 8?
Expert Solution
trending now

Trending now

This is a popular solution!

steps

Step by step

Solved in 4 steps

Blurred answer
Knowledge Booster
Centre, Spread, and Shape of a Distribution
Learn more about
Need a deep-dive on the concept behind this application? Look no further. Learn more about this topic, statistics and related others by exploring similar questions and additional content below.
Recommended textbooks for you
Glencoe Algebra 1, Student Edition, 9780079039897…
Glencoe Algebra 1, Student Edition, 9780079039897…
Algebra
ISBN:
9780079039897
Author:
Carter
Publisher:
McGraw Hill
Holt Mcdougal Larson Pre-algebra: Student Edition…
Holt Mcdougal Larson Pre-algebra: Student Edition…
Algebra
ISBN:
9780547587776
Author:
HOLT MCDOUGAL
Publisher:
HOLT MCDOUGAL