Derive the probability distribution of the 1-year HPR on a 30-year U.S. Treasury bond with a 4.0% coupon if it is currently selling at par and the probability distribution of its yield to maturity a year from now is as shown in the table below. (Assume the entire 4.0% coupon is paid at the end of the year rather than every 6 months. Assume a par value of $100.) Note: Leave no cells blank - be certain to enter "0" wherever required. Negative values should be indicated by a minus sign. Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answers to 2 decimal places. Economy Boom Normal Growth Recession Probability 0.20 0.60 0.20 YTM 8.0 % 7.0% 5.0 % Price Capital Gain Coupon Interest HPR % % %

Essentials Of Investments
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Author:Bodie, Zvi, Kane, Alex, MARCUS, Alan J.
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Chapter1: Investments: Background And Issues
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Derive the probability distribution of the 1-year HPR on a 30-year U.S. Treasury bond with a 4.0% coupon if it is currently selling at par
and the probability distribution of its yield to maturity a year from now is as shown in the table below. (Assume the entire 4.0% coupon
is paid at the end of the year rather than every 6 months. Assume a par value of $100.)
Note: Leave no cells blank - be certain to enter "0" wherever required. Negative values should be indicated by a minus sign. Do
not round intermediate calculations. Round your answers to 2 decimal places.
Economy
Boom
Normal Growth
Recession
Probability
0.20
0.60
0.20
YTM
8.0 %
7.0 %
5.0 %
Price
Capital Gain
Coupon
Interest
HPR
%
%
%
Transcribed Image Text:Derive the probability distribution of the 1-year HPR on a 30-year U.S. Treasury bond with a 4.0% coupon if it is currently selling at par and the probability distribution of its yield to maturity a year from now is as shown in the table below. (Assume the entire 4.0% coupon is paid at the end of the year rather than every 6 months. Assume a par value of $100.) Note: Leave no cells blank - be certain to enter "0" wherever required. Negative values should be indicated by a minus sign. Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answers to 2 decimal places. Economy Boom Normal Growth Recession Probability 0.20 0.60 0.20 YTM 8.0 % 7.0 % 5.0 % Price Capital Gain Coupon Interest HPR % % %
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