Hudson Corporation is considering three options for managing its data warehouse: continuing with its own staff, hiring an outside vendor to do the managing (referred to as outsourcing), or using a combination of its own staff and an outside vendor. The cost of the operation depends on future demand. The annual cost of each option (in thousands of dollars) depends on demand as follows: Demand Staffing Options High Medium Low Own staff           650   650         600 Outside vendor 900    600        300 Combination     800   650         500 (a) If the demand probabilities are 0.2, 0.5, and 0.3, which decision alternative will minimize the expected cost of the data warehouse? Outside vendor What is the expected annual cost associated with that recommendation? Enter your answer in thousands dollars. For example, an answer of $200 thousands should be entered as 200,000. Expected annual cost = $570000 (b) Construct a risk profile for the optimal decision in part (a). The input in the box below will not be graded, but may be reviewed and considered by your instructor. _______________________ What is the probability of the cost exceeding $700,000 ? If required, round your answer to two decimal places. Probability = ________________

Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Chapter9: Decision Making Under Uncertainty
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 30P
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Hudson Corporation is considering three options for managing its data warehouse: continuing with its own staff, hiring an outside vendor to do the managing (referred to as outsourcing), or using a combination of its own staff and an outside vendor. The cost of the operation depends on future demand. The annual cost of each option (in thousands of dollars) depends on demand as follows:

Demand
Staffing Options High Medium Low
Own staff           650   650         600
Outside vendor 900    600        300
Combination     800   650         500
(a) If the demand probabilities are 0.2, 0.5, and 0.3, which decision alternative will minimize the expected cost of the data warehouse?

Outside vendor
What is the expected annual cost associated with that recommendation? Enter your answer in thousands dollars. For example, an answer of $200 thousands should be entered as 200,000.

Expected annual cost = $570000

(b) Construct a risk profile for the optimal decision in part (a).

The input in the box below will not be graded, but may be reviewed and considered by your instructor.
_______________________
What is the probability of the cost exceeding $700,000 ?
If required, round your answer to two decimal places.
Probability = ________________

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