Not all the items in your office supply store are evenly distributed as far as demand is concerned, so you decide to forecast demand to help plan your stock. Past data for legal-sized yellow tablets for the month of August are       Week 1 250 Week 2 350 Week 3 550 Week 4 650     a. Using a three-week moving average, what would you forecast the next week to be? b. Using exponential smoothing with α = 0.30, if the exponential forecast for week 3 was estimated as the average of the first two weeks [(250 + 350)/2 = 300], what would you forecast week 5 to be?

Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Chapter13: Regression And Forecasting Models
Section13.6: Moving Averages Models
Problem 22P: The file P13_22.xlsx contains total monthly U.S. retail sales data. While holding out the final six...
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Not all the items in your office supply store are evenly distributed as far as demand is concerned, so you decide to forecast demand to help plan your stock. Past data for legal-sized yellow tablets for the month of August are

 

   
Week 1 250
Week 2 350
Week 3 550
Week 4 650
 

 

a. Using a three-week moving average, what would you forecast the next week to be?

b. Using exponential smoothing with α = 0.30, if the exponential forecast for week 3 was estimated as the average of the first two weeks [(250 + 350)/2 = 300], what would you forecast week 5 to be?

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