Problem 08-04 Algo (Moving Averages and Exponential Smoothing) Consider the following time series data: Month Value 1 2 3 25 13 19 11 4 5 7 19 23 15 6 (a) Compute MSE using the most recent value as the forecast for the next period. If required, round your answer to one decimal place. What is the forecast for month 87 If required, round your answer to one decimal place. Do not round intermediate calculation. (b) Compute MSE using the average of all the data available as the forecast for the next period. If required, round your answer to one decimal place. Do not round intermediate calculation. What is the forecast for month 87 If required, round your answer to one decimal place. c) Which method appears to provide the better forecast? Select your answer-

Algebra & Trigonometry with Analytic Geometry
13th Edition
ISBN:9781133382119
Author:Swokowski
Publisher:Swokowski
Chapter5: Inverse, Exponential, And Logarithmic Functions
Section5.3: The Natural Exponential Function
Problem 39E
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Questions Problem 08-04 Algo (Moving Averages and Exponential Smoothing)
Consider the following time series data:
Month
Value
1
2
25 13
3
19
4
11
5
19 23 15
6
7
(a) Compute MSE using the most recent value as the forecast for the next period.
If required, round your answer to one decimal place.
What is the forecast for month 87
If required, round your answer to one decimal place. Do not round intermediate calculation.
(b) Compute MSE using the average of all the data available as the forecast for the next period.
If required, round your answer to one decimal place. Do not round intermediate calculation.
What is the forecast for month 8?
If required, round your answer to one decimal place.
(c) Which method appears to provide the better forecast?
- Select your answer -
Transcribed Image Text:Questions Problem 08-04 Algo (Moving Averages and Exponential Smoothing) Consider the following time series data: Month Value 1 2 25 13 3 19 4 11 5 19 23 15 6 7 (a) Compute MSE using the most recent value as the forecast for the next period. If required, round your answer to one decimal place. What is the forecast for month 87 If required, round your answer to one decimal place. Do not round intermediate calculation. (b) Compute MSE using the average of all the data available as the forecast for the next period. If required, round your answer to one decimal place. Do not round intermediate calculation. What is the forecast for month 8? If required, round your answer to one decimal place. (c) Which method appears to provide the better forecast? - Select your answer -
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