sports psychologist tests a new coaching method and finds that of the 43 novice athletes who were trained under the new method, they only froze/choked when in high stakes competition 3.5% of the time. If it is known that all novice athletes tend to freeze/choke 6% of the time when in high stakes competition (with a 3.2% average variation from the mean),  What is your point estimate for how often all novice athletes would choke if trained under the new method?

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