Suppose a steroid test is 81% sensitive and 85% specific. That is, the tes will produce 81% true positive results for steroid users and 85% true negative results for non-steroid users. Suppose that 2.8% of people are steroid users. If a randomly selected individual tests negative, what is the probability he or she is a steroid user? YOUR ANSWER SHOULD BE BETWEEN O AND 100 AND ROUNDED TO 4 DECIMAL PLACES. (e.g. 59.5321 would be 59.5321%)

Microeconomic Theory
12th Edition
ISBN:9781337517942
Author:NICHOLSON
Publisher:NICHOLSON
Chapter2: Mathematics For Microeconomics
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 2.15P
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Suppose a steroid test is 81% sensitive and 85% specific. That is, the test
will produce 81% true positive results for steroid users and 85% true
negative results for non-steroid users. Suppose that 2.8% of people are
steroid users. If a randomly selected individual tests negative, what is the
probability he or she is a steroid user?
YOUR ANSWER SHOULD BE BETWEEN O AND 100 AND ROUNDED TO 4
DECIMAL PLACES.
(e.g. 59.5321 would be 59.5321%)
Transcribed Image Text:Suppose a steroid test is 81% sensitive and 85% specific. That is, the test will produce 81% true positive results for steroid users and 85% true negative results for non-steroid users. Suppose that 2.8% of people are steroid users. If a randomly selected individual tests negative, what is the probability he or she is a steroid user? YOUR ANSWER SHOULD BE BETWEEN O AND 100 AND ROUNDED TO 4 DECIMAL PLACES. (e.g. 59.5321 would be 59.5321%)
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