this is the first part of my question which I managed to solve but you are gonna need it to solve the second part which I NEED HELP in. Model the following investment decision as an Influence Diagram: a high-risk stock - $200 brokerage fee Payoff- $1700 if the market goes up $300 if market stays neutral -$800 if the market goes down a low-risk stock - $200 brokerage fee Payoff- $1200 if the market goes up $400 if market stays neutral $100 if the market goes down Student 1 hour ago a savings account that pays a sure $500 P(Market Up)=0.480, P(Market Flat) = 0.297, and P(Market Down) = 1-P(Market Up)-P(Market Flat). Student 1 hour ago

Essentials of Business Analytics (MindTap Course List)
2nd Edition
ISBN:9781305627734
Author:Jeffrey D. Camm, James J. Cochran, Michael J. Fry, Jeffrey W. Ohlmann, David R. Anderson
Publisher:Jeffrey D. Camm, James J. Cochran, Michael J. Fry, Jeffrey W. Ohlmann, David R. Anderson
Chapter15: Decision Analysis
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 6P
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this is the first part of my question which I managed to solve but you are gonna need it to solve the second part which I NEED HELP in. Model the following investment decision as an Influence Diagram: a high-risk stock - $200 brokerage fee Payoff- $1700 if the market goes up $300 if market stays neutral -$800 if the market goes down a low-risk stock - $200 brokerage fee Payoff- $1200 if the market goes up $400 if market stays neutral $100 if the market goes down Student 1 hour ago a savings account that pays a sure $500 P(Market Up)=0.480, P(Market Flat) = 0.297, and P(Market Down) = 1-P(Market Up)-P(Market Flat). Student 1 hour ago
Using the same Influence Diagram, connect the uncertainty to
the decision block with a SEQUENCE arrow indicating that the
decision maker has the information prior to making the
decision. (Investment options are repeated below for your
convenience.) Create a Decision Tree from the modified
Influence Diagram, and test the Decision Tree by changing the
probability of market up, flat, and down as follows:
P(Market Up)=0.501, P(Market Flat) = 0.294, and P(Market
Down) = 1-P(Market Up)-P(Market Flat).
Make sure you modify ALL probabilities of market up, flat and
down for each branch. What is the Expected Monetary Value
(EMV) of the decision? State your answers in terms of dollars
and cents. (ie. Dollars, accurate to two decimal points.)
a high-risk stock
- $200 brokerage fee
Payoff-
$1700 if the market goes up
$300 if market stays neutral
-$800 if the market goes down
a low-risk stock
- $200 brokerage fee
Payoff-
$1200 if the market goes up
Transcribed Image Text:Using the same Influence Diagram, connect the uncertainty to the decision block with a SEQUENCE arrow indicating that the decision maker has the information prior to making the decision. (Investment options are repeated below for your convenience.) Create a Decision Tree from the modified Influence Diagram, and test the Decision Tree by changing the probability of market up, flat, and down as follows: P(Market Up)=0.501, P(Market Flat) = 0.294, and P(Market Down) = 1-P(Market Up)-P(Market Flat). Make sure you modify ALL probabilities of market up, flat and down for each branch. What is the Expected Monetary Value (EMV) of the decision? State your answers in terms of dollars and cents. (ie. Dollars, accurate to two decimal points.) a high-risk stock - $200 brokerage fee Payoff- $1700 if the market goes up $300 if market stays neutral -$800 if the market goes down a low-risk stock - $200 brokerage fee Payoff- $1200 if the market goes up
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